WHO Shocked At 427 Ebola-Infected Health Care Workers

The number of healthcare workers infected by the Ebola virus keeps raising. These are workers using PPE equipment and experienced at working with contagious patients. No wonder Ebola is such a terrifying disease.

In the US the odds of catching Ebola is small. Still panic is spreading. The economic impact could be severe. A few more Ebola cases and the economy will suffer greatly as people become afraid to travel to anyplace that places them in crowds.

WHO Shocked At 427 Ebola-Infected HealthCare Workers As Cases Top 9000, Deaths Exceed 4500

Submitted by Tyler Durden on 10/16/2014 09:47

If trained professionals (in West Africa and the US) are becoming infected by the deadly Ebola virus, what hope is there for fellow passengers in a tightly-packed metal tube? The World Health Organization expects Ebola cases to top 9000 this week and deaths to exceed 4500 as they shockingly note 427 healthcare workers are now infected.

Ebola health care
Ebola Healthcare Workers

The economic impact of Ebola continues to rise as Liberia slashes its GDP estimate and East African nations discuss strategies to stop the spread from the West. In Europe, Germany is sending aid, the Spanish nurse is stable, but Madrid airport activated emergency measures due to a suspected Ebola passenger. US screening restrictions increase as Yale New Haven Hospital is dealing with a patient with Ebole-like symptoms. Politicians begin debating travel bans as Dallas is expected to approve a “state of disaster” today. Contained?

First the shocking news:

*EBOLA CASES TO EXCEED 9,000 IN W. AFRICA THIS WEEK, WHO SAYS
*EBOLA DEATHS TO EXCEED 4,500 IN W. AFRICA THIS WEEK, WHO SAYS
*427 HEALTH-CARE WORKERS INFECTED WITH EBOLA, WHO’S NUTTALL SAYS
Across Europe.

Officials claim the Spanish Ebola nurse is ‘stable’ and 68 low-risk people are being monitored (via Bloomberg)

Of 68 “low-risk” people being monitored for Ebola infection in Spain, one developed low fever this morning, Fernando Simon, coordinator of the center of alerts and emergencies at Spain’s health ministry, says in news conference
Person has fever above 37.7 degrees: Simon
15 “high-risk” contacts are still all asymptomatic: Simon
Ebola patient Teresa Romero is stable; viral levels are falling, still not negative: Simon
But Madrid airport activated emergency measures… (via Reuters)

Madrid’s Barajas international airport activated emergency measures on Thursday after a passenger arriving on an Air France flight was suspected of possibly having Ebola, a spokeswoman for airports operator Aena said.

Spain’s health ministry confirmed that an Ebola emergency protocol had been set in motion but declined to give details.

Aena and Air France said in separate statements that a passenger on Air France 1300 from Lagos via Paris had started shaking during the flight. Air France said the other passengers disembarked from the plane, which will now be disinfected. The return flight has been cancelled.
And Germany is sending aid… (via Bloomberg)

Funding boost to raise German emergency aid against Ebola to EU102m ($130m), Christian Democratic Union lawmaker Nobert Barthle says in e-mailed statement.
Funding approved by German lower-house budget committee yday
Germany also contributing EU700m in long-term aid for African health systems: Barthle
In Africa…

Liberia cuts its GDP estimate… (via FrontPageAfrica)

Economic “growth is expected to be zero percent in 2015,” due to Ebola, contraction in mining activity, agriculture, services, Finance Minister Amara Konneh says in interview with online edition of Monrovia-based newspaper.

Disease “seriously affected economic activities and livelihoods throughout the country with domestic food production, mining activities, hospitality industry, and transport services all declining.”
And East African nations are in full panic mode…

“We have already seen an impact on our economies, regarding reduced tourism flows, flight cancellations,” Kenyan President Uhuru Kenyatta says at conference in Rwandan capital, Kigali.
East African Community is being “proactive to avoid the spread of the virus to EAC countries”
5-nation bloc also looking for ways to help affected countries
EAC includes Kenya, Uganda, Tanzania, Rwanda and Burundi.

Read More: Health Care Workers at Ebola Risk

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Ebola. What’s the Worst Case Scenario?

We’re told by the CDC we have nothing to fear. In the US Ebola will be contained. This statement was made at a CDC press conference one day before the nurse in Dallas was confirmed to have Ebola. And she reportedly was following CDC protocol designed to prevent contagion. Bad timing by the CDC, who in my opinion, is over confident in US preparedness for an Ebola outbreak.

Doctors Without Borders has been active in Africa for years treating Ebola patients. Their protocol has been effective. Not one DWB health worker has become infected with Ebola. Perhaps our CDC should follow their protocol, not blame a nurse for a breach of theirs. The US is NOT prepared for an Ebola pandemic.

The following article was written by an author who has been right with many forecasts. He’s a smart guy. His view of what could happen with an Ebola epidemic is grim. Hopefully, Dmity Orlov is wrong. Read it and other works by Orlov and you decide. Links to his website are at the end of this article.

Ebola and the Five Stages of Collapse

By Dmitry Orlov

At the moment, the Ebola virus is ravaging three countries—Liberia, Guinea and Sierra Leone—where it is doubling every few weeks, but singular cases and clusters of them are cropping up in dense population centers across the world. An entirely separate Ebola outbreak in the Congo appears to be contained, but illustrates an important point: even if the current outbreak (to which some are already referring as a pandemic) is brought under control, continuing deforestation and natural habitat destruction in the areas where the fruit bats that carry the virus live make future outbreaks quite likely.

Depositphotos_50721177_m

Ebola’s mortality rate can be as high as 70%, but seems closer to 50% for the current major outbreak.

This is significantly worse than the Bubonic plague, which killed off a third of Europe’s population. Previous Ebola outbreaks occurred in rural, isolated locales, where they quickly burned themselves out by infecting everyone within a certain radius, then running out of new victims. But the current outbreak has spread to large population centers with highly mobile populations, and the chances of such a spontaneous end to this outbreak seem to be pretty much nil.

Ebola has an incubation period of some three weeks during which patients remain asymptomatic and, specialists assure us, noninfectious. However, it is known that some patients remain asymptomatic throughout, in spite of having a strong inflammatory response, and can infect others. Nevertheless, we are told that those who do not present symptoms of Ebola—such as high fever, nausea, fatigue, bloody stool, bloody vomit, nose bleeds and other signs of hemorrhage—cannot infect others.

We are also told that Ebola can only be spread through direct contact with the bodily fluids of an infected individual, but it is known that among pigs and monkeys Ebola can be spread through the air, and the possibility of catching it via a cough, a sneeze, a handrail or a toilet seat is impossible to discount entirely.

It is notable that many of the medical staff who became infected did so in spite of wearing protective gear—face masks, gloves, goggles and body suits. In short, nothing will guarantee your survival short of donning a space suit or relocating to a space station.

There is a test that shows whether someone is infected with Ebola, but it is known to produce false negatives. Other methods do even worse. Current effort at “enhanced screening,” recently introduced at a handful of international airports, where passengers arriving from the affected countries are now being checked for fever, fatigue and nausea, are unlikely to stop infected, and infectious, individuals. They are akin to other “security theater” methods that are currently in vogue, such as making passengers take off their shoes and testing breast milk for its potential as an explosive.

The fact that the thermometers, which agents point at people’s heads, are made to look like guns is a nice little touch; whoever came up with that idea deserves Homeland Security’s highest decoration—to be shaped like a bomb and worn rectally.

It is unclear what technique or combination of techniques could guarantee that Ebola would not spread. Even a month-long group quarantine for all travelers from all of the affected countries may provide the virus with a transmission path via asymptomatic, undiagnosed individuals. And even a quarantine that would amount to solitary confinement (which would be both impractical and illegal) would simply put evolutionary pressure on this fast-mutating virus to adapt and incubate longer than the period of the quarantine.

Treatment of Ebola victims amounts to hydration and palliative care. Transfusions of blood donated by a survivor seem to be the only effective therapy available. An experimental drug called ZMapp has been demonstrated to stop Ebola in non-human primates, but its effectiveness in humans is now known to be less than 100%. It is an experimental drug, made in small batches by infecting young tobacco plants with an eyedropper.

Even if its production is scaled up, it will be too little and too late to have any measurable effect on the current epidemic. Likewise, experimental Ebola vaccines have been demonstrated to be effective in animal trials, and one has been shown to be safe in humans, but the process of demonstrating it effectiveness in humans and then producing it in sufficient quantities may take longer than it would for the virus to spread around the world.

The scenario in which Ebola engulfs the globe is not yet guaranteed, but neither can it be dismissed as some sort of apocalyptic fantasy: the chances of it happening are by no means zero. And if Ebola is not stopped, it has the potential to reduce the human population of the earth from over 7 billion to around 3.5 billion in a relatively short period of time. Note that even a population collapse of this magnitude is still well short of causing human extinction: after all, about half the victims fully recover and become immune to the virus. But supposing that Ebola does run its course, what sort of world will it leave in its wake?

More importantly, now is a really good time to start thinking of ways in which people can adapt to the reality of a global Ebola pandemic, to avoid a wide variety of worst-case outcomes. After all, compared to some other doomsday scenarios, such as runaway climate change or global nuclear annihilation, a population collapse can look positively benign, and, given the completely unsustainable impact humans are currently having on the environment, may perhaps even come to be regarded as beneficial.

I understand that such thinking is anathema to those who feel that every problem must have a solution—or it’s not worth discussing. I certainly don’t want to discourage those who are trying to stop Ebola, or to delay its spread until a vaccine becomes available, and would even help them if I could. I am not suicidal, and I don’t look forward to the death of roughly half the people I know. But I happen to disagree that thinking about what such an outcome, and perhaps even preparing for it in some ways, is necessarily a bad idea. Unless, of course, it produces a panic. So, if you are prone to panic, perhaps you shouldn’t be reading this.

And so, for the benefit of those who are not particularly panic-prone, I am going to trot out my old technique of examining collapse as consisting of five distinct stages: financial, commercial, political, social and cultural, and briefly discuss the various ramifications of a swift 50% global population collapse when viewed through that prism. If you want to know all about the five stages, my book is widely available.

Financial collapse

Our current set of financial arrangements, involving very large levels of debt leading to artificially high valuations placed on stocks, commodities, real estate, and Ph.D’s in economics, is underpinned by a key assumption: that the global economy is going to continue to grow. Yes, global growth started stumbling around the turn of the century, stopped for a while during the financial collapse of 2008, and has since then remained anemic, with even the most tentative signs of recovery having much to do with unlimited money-printing by the world’s central banks, but the economics Ph.D’s remain ever so hopeful that growth will resume. Nevertheless, this much is clear: halving the number of workers and consumers would not be conducive to boosting economic growth.

Quite the opposite: it would mean that most debt will have to be written off. Likewise, the valuations of companies that would supply half the demand with half the workers would be unlikely to go up. Nor would the houses, half of which would stand vacant and dilapidated, increase in value. If the supply of oil suddenly outstrips demand by 50%, then this would cause the price of oil to drop to a point where it no longer covers the cost of producing it, and oil producers will be forced to shut down.

This would not be a happy event for those countries that are heavily dependent on energy exports in order to afford imports of food to feed their populations. Nor would such developments spell a happy end for those countries that need to continuously roll over trillions of dollars of short-term debt in order to continue feeding their populations via government hand-outs (the United States comes to mind).

“But what about wealth preservation?!” I hear some of my readers screaming in anguish? “How do I hedge my portfolio against a sudden 50% global population drop?” Well, that’s easy: you need to be short all paper. Short it all: currency, stocks, bonds, debt instruments, deeds on urban real estate. Get out of most commodities: energy, obviously, but also precious metals, because you can’t eat gold. Go long people (who will be in ever-shorter supply) and arable land (because people have to eat) and stockpile everything else that they will need to learn to feed themselves.

If they are sufficiently grateful for all your help, they will feed you too. Alternatively, you can just sit on your paper wealth as it dwindles to nothing, and wait for the torches and the pitchforks to come out. Since wealthy people squander a disproportionate amount of wealth on themselves and their families, killing them off is a good wealth preservation strategy—for the rest of us, so feel free to do your part.

Read More: Ebola Could Lead to Collapse

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